Sam Ingram’s Early Bird Picks for October 8 | OKBET BET News
In the next installment of the betting expert’s Early Bird article, we’ll look at two Premier League picks before diving into the fifth tier to look at Dorking Wanderers’ goal-heavy start to life in 2022/23. Let’s hope it’s another successful one.
Chelsea vs. Wolves Prediction
Premier League, England, Saturday, October 8th, 15:00 (UK)
With a new manager in charge and the World Cup looming, it’s not surprising that performance levels at Stamford Bridge will improve. In terms of points, the Crystal Palace comeback over the weekend was the perfect start to Graham Potter’s Premier League Chelsea debut, albeit with last-minute help from Connor Gallagher of all people.
Wolves’ lack of a true goalscorer could cost them this season. It was a major reason for Bruno Lage’s dismissal. That missing piece will almost certainly remain a source of concern in a Wolves lineup brimming with talent and high-quality craftsmen to complement a number nine.
Diego Costa has come in and, to be fair, provided something unique in his cameo appearance against West Ham. The header that fizzed past the post was a reminder that if his teammates can find him, he’ll find those positions in the penalty area. However, whether he can solve Wolves’ problems is another question entirely.
Wolves’ inability to find the target is a result of their striker woes. This season, only 24.7% of goal attempts have worked the keeper or resulted in a goal. Only Nottingham Forest has a lower total heading into the weekend. The average shot distance of 18.8 yards per attempt is second only to bottom-placed Leicester City, which may explain this season’s poor SOT statistics.
Given that Chelsea allow their opponents 9.86 shots per 90 minutes – the fourth fewest in the league – Wolves will need to capitalize whenever they record a shot on target.
Best Bet: Chelsea vs. Wolves
Given that Chelsea isn’t exactly at the top of the league and is adjusting to life under a new manager, I don’t expect The Blues to blow their opponents away. Furthermore, looking at the most important statistic in games – goals – Wolves’ three after eight games is the lowest in the Premier League, which should support the unders angle.
Preview: Brighton vs. Tottenham
Premier League, England, Saturday, October 8th, 17:30 (UK)
Roberto de Zerbi has arrived in Brighton and taken over the reins of a Seagulls team that is in fine form. The Italian stated that his plans would not interfere with what Potter had put in place, but would instead add bits of his philosophy here and there to a high-quality team. That seems prudent given the performance Brighton just gave an out-of-shape Liverpool side at Anfield.
Getting three goals at Anfield is an accomplishment regardless of the Liverpool team. Spurs are up next, coming off a North London derby defeat and a trip to Germany to earn points in the Champions League. There will be no doubt in the Brighton dressing room that they will score against a potentially leggy Spurs.
Similarly, Spurs’ forwards will keep Brighton’s backline busy. Spurs not only average 14.37 shots per 90 minutes, but 40.9% of their shots are on target – a far cry from Wolves’ current figures. It demonstrates that Spurs require few opportunities to create decent openings, with 13.2xG from eight games demonstrating how devastating they can be when it clicks.
Best Bet: Brighton vs. Tottenham
It’s a reasonable price for two sides who know where the net is at 1.80. Spurs will be looking to rebound domestically after their humiliating loss to Arsenal. Brighton’s new goalkeeper? They’ll be looking to secure European football at The Amex next season.
BTTS selection: Yes (OKBET BET)
1.80 are the best odds
10/10 stakes
Preview: Dorking vs. Altrincham
Saturday, October 8th, 15:00, England, National League (UK)
Dorking dominated the National League South last season, with the Meadowbank club scoring the most goals in the league. Dorking led the league with 101 goals in 40 games, 21 more than the next-best team, and eventual winners, Maidstone.
In front of goal, not much has changed. The Wanderers have the highest match goals tally following their promotion, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded after only 11 games. The 10/11 Dorking games with over 2.5 goals suggest we’re in good hands here. In the away dressing room, Altrincham’s 6/11 total is sufficient to complement Dorking’s goal-driven approach to games.
Altrincham has just one point at the time of writing, with a trip to Gateshead scheduled for Tuesday. The porous nature of Dorking’s defense will be at the forefront of most National League managers’ minds right now. It could well provide Altrincham with their second victory of the season if they can keep Wanderers out at the other end. Not an easy task, to be sure.
Dagenham & Redbridge demonstrate the difficulties of containing a fast-paced Dorking side. A dismissal aided the 5-1 victory over the weekend, though the scoreline should elicit groans from the Dagenham terraces on Saturday. It follows their previous six-goal haul at Maidstone (2-4) earlier in the season, as well as three losses that resulted in a total of five strikes (3-2 vs Oldham Athletic(A), 1-4 vs Boreham Wood(H), and 0-5 vs Wrexham(H)).
Best Bet: Dorking vs. Altrincham
Dorking fans have been treated to a 4.27 goals per 90 match average in 2022/23. Their visitors’ 3.00 goals per90 total is yet another shining example of why the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.90 next weekend is one to back.
Over 2.5 goals were chosen (OKBET BET)
1.90 are the best odds
10/10 stakes
Odds available at OKBET as of today, October 5th, 2022. The odds may now be different.
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